The major US stock indices are getting off to a positive start with gains. The indices are led by the NASDAQ index which is up around 1% after declining -33.10% in 2022 (it was the worst performing of the major indices). They stepped out of the market eight minutes into.
The first trading day of the year highlights a few opportunities in the market this year. I’m skeptical that price action this early is telling but some news items are notable and fit into themes I highlighted in the video below. 1) China reopening The China PMI today was awful.
The US dollar is sizzling today even as Treasury yields fall. It’s a reminder that intermarket correlations don’t matter on Day 1 as flow-driven trade dominates. The rally in the dollar speaks only to demand for liquidity and the world’s reserve currency — I wouldn’t take it as any kind.
Prior +10.0% CPI -0.8% vs -0.3% m/m expected Prior -0.5% HICP +9.6% vs +10.7% y/y expected Prior +11.3% HICP -1.2% vs -0.5% m/m expected Prior 0.0% The steeper fall in German inflation was already predicated by the state readings earlier today, and surely owes much to lower energy prices once.
Headlines: Not quite the 2022 theme this one Bavaria December CPI +9.2% vs +10.9% y/y prior Saxony December CPI +8.7% vs +9.9% y/y prior Germany December unemployment change -13k vs 15k expected UK December final manufacturing PMI 45.3 vs 44.7 prelim Switzerland December manufacturing PMI 54.1 vs 53.3 expected SNB.