Market Intelligence News

American Consumer Prices in December Show Year-Over-Year Increase of 6.5%, Meeting Forecast

American Consumer Prices in December Show Year-Over-Year Increase of 6.5%, Meeting Forecast
  • Previous reading was at +7.1%
  • Consumer Price Index decreased by -0.1% against the forecast of +0.0%
  • The preceding month’s m/m was +0.1%
  • Actual weekly salary increased by 0.1% compared to the prior +0.2%

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The measure of price change for a basket of goods and services not including volatile food and energy prices is referred to as core inflation.

  • The annual change in ex food and energy was +5.7%, which is what was expected, compared to the prior year’s +6.0%
  • Core month-on-month was +0.3%, which was the same as forecast, versus the previous month’s +0.2%

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For the first time in over a year, the market read an inflation report, but had expected it to be weaker. The initial trading following the news was a letdown, resulting in stock futures falling 0.5% from its pre-data rise of 0.3%.

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  • Pre-owned cars dropped by 2.5% from the previous month’s figure of -2.9%.
  • Food prices increased by 0.3%, compared to the 0.5% recorded in the earlier month.
  • Energy prices declined by 4.5%, compared to the -1.6% in the previous month.
  • Gasoline prices were down 9.4% compared to the -2.0% in the month before.
  • Fuel oil prices dropped by 16.6%, as opposed to the 1.7% seen in the prior month.
  • New vehicles prices decreased by 0.1%, compared to the unchanged figure of 0.0% recorded in the prior month.
  • Apparel prices rose by 0.5% compared to the 0.2% in the month before.
  • Medical care prices rose by 0.1%, slightly lower than the 0.2% seen in the prior month.

The situation of the country’s economy is not looking good; it is not faring well. There are signs of a potential downturn, and the market is displaying some instability. It is evident that the economic climate is not as rosy as it once was, and it could possibly get worse before it gets better.

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The cost of shelter and the core Consumer Price Index (some refer to it as supercore) increased from the prior month. Excluding food, energy, and shelter, the CPI was -0.1% m/m. Although there has been a substantial decrease in energy prices, the disinflationary impulse is not as great as one would hope. Yet, the market is now more certain that the Federal Reserve will make a 0.25% decrease at the February 1st meeting, and the US dollar is declining.

At 10 am ET, Biden intends to provide his remarks about the report.

Andrew Johnson is a seasoned journalist with a keen interest in the commodity market. He is a regular contributor to Livemarkets.com, where he covers the latest news, trends, and analysis related to the commodity industry. With years of experience under his belt, Andrew has established himself as a reliable source of information on the global commodity market.